Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000541 0.000625 0.000714 0.000817 0.000930 0.001052 0.001191
2025-06-15 0.000408 0.000522 0.000654 0.000814 0.001004 0.001219 0.001480
2025-06-22 0.000338 0.000464 0.000617 0.000812 0.001052 0.001334 0.001687
2025-06-29 0.000281 0.000413 0.000580 0.000801 0.001084 0.001426 0.001867
2025-07-06 0.000236 0.000368 0.000544 0.000785 0.001103 0.001498 0.002019
2025-07-13 0.000211 0.000348 0.000536 0.000803 0.001163 0.001622 0.002237
2025-07-20 0.000189 0.000328 0.000526 0.000815 0.001214 0.001732 0.002440
2025-07-27 0.000164 0.000301 0.000503 0.000806 0.001235 0.001803 0.002592
2025-08-03 0.000141 0.000274 0.000477 0.000792 0.001246 0.001859 0.002724
2025-08-10 0.000128 0.000261 0.000469 0.000801 0.001290 0.001959 0.002916
2025-08-17 0.000114 0.000245 0.000457 0.000802 0.001320 0.002041 0.003086
2025-08-24 0.000097 0.000220 0.000428 0.000776 0.001310 0.002066 0.003175
2025-08-31 0.000082 0.000198 0.000401 0.000752 0.001302 0.002092 0.003270
2025-09-07 0.000072 0.000185 0.000389 0.000749 0.001325 0.002166 0.003432
2025-09-14 0.000064 0.000173 0.000378 0.000747 0.001349 0.002239 0.003594
2025-09-21 0.000055 0.000160 0.000362 0.000737 0.001359 0.002291 0.003727
2025-09-28 0.000048 0.000146 0.000345 0.000722 0.001360 0.002329 0.003839
2025-10-05 0.000044 0.000142 0.000346 0.000739 0.001412 0.002447 0.004070
2025-10-12 0.000041 0.000137 0.000344 0.000750 0.001456 0.002550 0.004281
2025-10-19 0.000035 0.000128 0.000331 0.000742 0.001466 0.002603 0.004418
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000117 0.000316 0.000728 0.001466 0.002640 0.004531
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000113 0.000314 0.000737 0.001505 0.002737 0.004737
2025-11-09 0.000025 0.000107 0.000307 0.000737 0.001530 0.002813 0.004911